The Suez Canal – A Vital Artery of Global Trade
The Cost of the Red Sea Crisis
As can be seen in the above graph, with the Red Sea Crisis still ongoing and despite International naval operations—U.S.-led Operation Prosperity Guardian and the EU’s Operation Aspides which continue to escort merchant vessels and provide aerial defence in the region, the Canal fees and war risk insurance costs currently exceed the extra fuel burned going around the Cape of Good Hope. A U.S.–Houthi ceasefire was agreed on May 6, 2025, ending U.S./UK airstrikes on Yemen and halting attacks on U.S.-affiliated vessels. However, the deal did not extend protection to Israeli-linked ships, which the Houthis have continued targeting.
Shipping traffic through the Straits of Bab El Mandab is slowly rising—with roughly 36–37 ships transiting daily, a ~60% increase—but the corridor remains classified as high-risk by maritime security analysts.
On June 21, 2025, multiple oil tankers were attacked in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, significantly rattling global markets.
NATO commanders warn that Houthi missile and drone threats persist, requiring ongoing vigilance—even if attacks are more selective.
Key shipping giants like Maersk, CMA CGM, and Hapag-Lloyd remain wary. Despite reduced attack frequency, most continue avoiding the Red Sea route in favour of the Cape of Good Hope.
War-risk insurance premiums remain elevated (around 0.75–1% of hull values) and many underwriters are still reluctant to cover transits.
Suez Canal RouteCosts:
- Suez Canal tolls (2025):
~$700,000–$850,000 per one-way transit for a fully laden ULCS (20,000+ TEU), depending on vessel size, draught, and cargo type (Cost $850,000)
+ Additional charges for escort tugs and convoy scheduling may apply. - Fuel costs:
Shorter route → lower fuel consumption; 9,000–11,000 nautical miles from Shanghai to Rotterdam via Suez (Cost approx $1,200,000) - Red Sea war-risk premiums have soared. Rates of 0.75%–1.0% of a ship’s hull value per transit have been reported during peak tension periods (Cost $950,000)
- Total Cost $3,000,000 – this is of course an approximate estimation based upon a 20,000 TEU Ultra Large Containership.
Cape of Good Hope Costs:
- Canal tolls: $0
- War Risk Insurance: $0
- Fuel costs (at ~$500/ton for VLSFO):
A ULCS burns ~100–130 tons/day
Adds ~3,500–4,500 nm → 10–12 extra days at sea so extra $500,000–$900,000 in bunker fuel so total fuel bill of approx $1,950,000 - Total Cost via the cape: $1,950,000
There maybe charter losses due to the extra 10-12 days passage time which could add an additional $4 – 600,00 which when added to the fuel bill in the worst case scenario of chartering a ULCC of 24,000 TEU makes the total costs $2,550,000 which is still cheaper than via Suez when the War Risk Premium is still in force. Only a broad and guaranteed ceasefire brokered with the Houthis will reduce the War risk allowing the costs to balance out better. But with the continued high risk of having your vessel damaged in the Red Sea operators are quite understandably taking the safer option. When Red Sea risks are high, shipowners may accept higher fuel costs and delays via the Cape to avoid potential losses, delays, or war-risk premiums through Suez.
The Suez Canal is not just an hand made marvel—it is a critical enabler of the global economy. By providing the shortest maritime link between the East and West, it underpins the efficiency of international shipping and supply chains. While it faces operational and geopolitical challenges, its centrality to trade continues to drive investment, innovation, and international cooperation.
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